Latest forecast is less bullish on La Niña

Even so, there’s still better than a 50/50 chance that this weather-influencing phenomenon will emerge during fall and winter

In the latest forecast, La Niña — the cool opposite to El Niño — is still favored to develop by winter. But the odds have dropped over the past month.

The U.S. Climate Prediction Center now pegs La Niña’s chances of developing at 55 to 60 percent. That’s down from odds of 75 percent just a month ago.

If it does develop, it is likely to be a relatively modest on

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